Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 521.148184 554.150106 588.440088 626.788408 668.550865 712.732312 763.110707
2026-01-25 479.574320 525.171979 574.457009 631.901344 697.287300 769.714446 856.449494
2026-02-01 453.279107 506.738161 566.158569 637.511723 721.409564 817.597305 937.190902
2026-02-08 433.904213 493.320511 560.895872 644.080061 744.607292 863.313510 1015.817203
2026-02-15 415.085436 478.623151 552.294644 644.917876 759.526276 898.392220 1082.047402
2026-02-22 398.902853 465.688167 544.455028 645.364015 772.907029 931.114870 1146.032166
2026-03-01 386.129009 455.897628 539.478511 648.434865 788.912597 967.072467 1215.380590
2026-03-08 372.785163 444.562899 531.751696 647.196278 798.734300 994.849379 1274.732443
2026-03-15 361.707611 435.402500 526.093245 647.957331 810.682533 1025.417055 1339.019780
2026-03-22 351.218502 426.428316 520.102998 647.713618 820.866827 1053.609260 1401.085982
2026-03-29 341.789747 418.344258 514.779530 647.868438 831.241492 1082.130872 1464.821189
2026-04-05 334.519896 412.694370 512.271182 651.470863 846.208338 1117.430233 1540.230401
2026-04-12 326.314648 405.523904 507.464448 651.685273 856.356440 1146.258975 1607.683455
2026-04-19 320.648671 401.453458 506.546339 657.064308 873.853067 1186.354062 1694.752766
2026-04-26 315.561825 397.922450 506.132432 662.976205 892.167689 1228.315822 1787.248948
2026-05-03 311.159609 395.114939 506.519573 669.898064 912.077450 1273.455001 1887.688015
2026-05-10 304.915618 389.563985 502.873925 670.781069 922.866084 1304.897356 1967.307104
2026-05-17 298.884692 384.093226 499.108966 671.251279 932.895136 1335.431333 2047.184624
2026-05-24 294.092073 380.166344 497.335882 674.487972 947.156177 1373.211610 2142.029549
2026-05-31 288.086574 374.353357 492.669812 673.182462 954.181072 1399.455555 2218.007348
2026-06-07 283.039399 369.729725 489.529053 673.984630 964.438855 1431.350454 2306.283620
2026-06-14 277.908007 364.831869 485.817050 673.727749 972.891638 1460.494688 2391.364960
2026-06-21 273.137459 360.309001 482.491312 673.890934 981.931320 1490.938393 2480.958996